Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.000131 0.000145 0.000159 0.000175 0.000193 0.000212 0.000235
2025-11-02 0.000104 0.000123 0.000145 0.000172 0.000204 0.000243 0.000293
2025-11-09 0.000089 0.000110 0.000136 0.000171 0.000216 0.000273 0.000351
2025-11-16 0.000077 0.000100 0.000128 0.000168 0.000223 0.000296 0.000402
2025-11-23 0.000068 0.000090 0.000121 0.000164 0.000227 0.000314 0.000447
2025-11-30 0.000062 0.000086 0.000118 0.000167 0.000239 0.000344 0.000513
2025-12-07 0.000058 0.000082 0.000117 0.000170 0.000252 0.000377 0.000587
2025-12-14 0.000053 0.000077 0.000111 0.000167 0.000254 0.000393 0.000636
2025-12-21 0.000048 0.000071 0.000105 0.000160 0.000252 0.000401 0.000671
2025-12-28 0.000045 0.000068 0.000103 0.000161 0.000260 0.000427 0.000741
2026-01-04 0.000043 0.000065 0.000101 0.000162 0.000269 0.000454 0.000817
2026-01-11 0.000040 0.000062 0.000097 0.000160 0.000271 0.000471 0.000875
2026-01-18 0.000037 0.000060 0.000096 0.000161 0.000280 0.000501 0.000966
2026-01-25 0.000035 0.000057 0.000092 0.000159 0.000284 0.000523 0.001044
2026-02-01 0.000033 0.000054 0.000090 0.000159 0.000291 0.000551 0.001140
2026-02-08 0.000031 0.000051 0.000087 0.000156 0.000293 0.000570 0.001220
2026-02-15 0.000029 0.000048 0.000083 0.000152 0.000292 0.000582 0.001286
2026-02-22 0.000027 0.000047 0.000083 0.000154 0.000304 0.000623 0.001425
2026-03-01 0.000027 0.000046 0.000083 0.000157 0.000317 0.000669 0.001585
2026-03-08 0.000025 0.000044 0.000080 0.000154 0.000317 0.000685 0.001674
2026-03-15 0.000023 0.000041 0.000076 0.000149 0.000311 0.000685 0.001721
2026-03-22 0.000022 0.000040 0.000075 0.000149 0.000319 0.000721 0.001869
2026-03-29 0.000021 0.000039 0.000074 0.000150 0.000328 0.000759 0.002035